When the Ministry of the Interior and the Federal Police were asked about this, they said that they did not want to make any predictions regarding the development of migration.
According to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees More than six million people have fled Ukraine since the war began. There are also millions of internally displaced people in Ukraine itself. According to the Federal Ministry of the Interior, there are currently 1.1 million Ukrainian citizens in Germany who have entered the country since 2022.
See also: There is an agreement to help Ukraine. It's about 50 billion euros
Roderich Kieswetter, a foreign policy expert at the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), believes Europe has a greater responsibility towards Ukraine than ever before, and countries supporting Kiev must now significantly increase their military aid in the face of delays in US aid resulting from the country's domestic politics.
10 million refugees is a 'low assumption'
– If we do not change our strategy in supporting Ukraine, the worst scenario of a mass exodus from Ukraine and the expansion of the war to NATO countries will become more likely, Kiesvetter said in an interview with the newspaper “Welt am Sonntag.” Noting that 10 million refugees is a low assumption.
Migration researcher Gerald Knaus shared this view. — If Ukraine had lost the war, more than ten million refugees could have arrived in the European Union He stressed and added that we are already dealing with the largest refugee movement since the 1940s.
As reported by Welt, the federal government assumes that despite the current problems, the Ukrainian government has the military and financial means to maintain the country's defense and stability until the end of 2024.